Aeronaut wrote:
However, the prices would start to drop immediately once FF viability was confirmed. Almost all purchasing is done on a future anticipated demand and supply basis — traders and refiners best guesses.
I’d expect a very short ‘gasp’ in securities prices, but the real action would be in the one to ten year energy sector futures prices. This would be your barometer for when to short the fossil fuels.
Indeed, but those markets would immediately begin to reflect revised expectations; in fact, they ARE purely and simply expectations.
Speaking of markets, I wish someone with more resources than I would fire up the Intrade action by putting a buy or sell bid up!