JimmyT wrote:
Projections and predictions are easy to make, but they’re only as good as the facts they are based on. ..
..
So from a forecasting standpoint: our short term predictions tend to overstate progress. But long term our predictions tend to understate progress.
I would tend to agree with Aaron on this one. You can clearly see from mid-age posters that a lot of over-optimistic predictions failed to materialize
(flying cars, automated houses, futuristic cities, outer-planet colonies),
but they would have materialized in case fission became the source of plentiful, cheap and safe power, but it did not.
