Brian H wrote: The point is that the CRU Team etc. aggressively exclude input from those qualified in the various genuine sciences. Their mathematical hand-waving, e.g., uses PR to substitute for acknowledging the impossibility of producing the kinds of projections they claim.
Interesting paper with zero substance. Author(s) claims he has discovered (absolutely true) principles of forecasting which everyone must adhere to, but he does not provide any proof of. Why does he not use those principles to make some money in forex, stock market, horse race or football betting? Or do they only predict where you can not make any predictions?
Much more substance you can find here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Circulation_Model#Accuracy_of_models_that_predict_global_warming