vansig wrote: Okay, Here’s an economic prediction that should be verifiable.
“Increased demand for oil results in upward pressure on the Canadian dollar.”
Let’s apply the method to hard-to-predict, easy-to-verify problems. Can you name a few?
How do you define pressure in a way you can verify it later and specifically with a marked doing whatever it wants at that moment. Economy is booming, busting or stagnating for other reasons not related to oil. Imagine you make you prediction that economy will boom and next day FF comes along.
vansig wrote:
Let’s apply the method to hard-to-predict, easy-to-verify problems. Can you name a few?
I guess if you could predict a price change in currency pair on Forex with a high accuracy, there was no need to write any books.