#4148
Brian H
Participant

Aeronaut wrote: Figuring that FF will cost 200M$/GW of capacity installed, I’d guesstimate that only the plants built in the last twenty years would tend toward becoming white elephants. Anyway you slice it, a GW of new capacity is a fairly big bond to float in today’s market conditions. I’m sure that it will be an Easy Button purchase within 20 years, though.

Their output still has to be sold at $50,000/GWh or more, while FF plants would sell at perhaps $3,000/GWh. That’s a difference of $1,128,000/day, or about $412,000,000/year. Enough difference to install over 2GW of FF capacity.

White elephants, one and all. AKA economic road-kill.