The Focus Fusion Society › Forums › General Transition Issues › Lets prepare for FF investment › Reply To: Fusion Oil
HermannH wrote: I believe the numbers got a bit inflated; actually quite a bit.
According to this the total electricity consumption in 2005 was, on average, 297W per person on the planet.
Multiply this by the world’s population and you have a total consumption of 1.9TW.One FF unit produces 5MW, so you need a total of 384,000 units to supply the current world demand.
Of course demand is not constant but varies during the day/year so your peak capacity needs to be quite a bit higher, say about 3 times as high. This gives you 1.2 million units.
Further assume that electricity consumption will likely quadruple in the next 10 years: 5 million units.
So for the next ten years we need to build on average 500,000 units. And that rate would probably be about what is needed thereafter to keep up with rapidly increasing demand and replacement of old units.Now some parts (electrodes) may wear out rather quickly and may need to be replaced/refurbished several times a year. For these parts you could end up with 20 million per year.
Theoretically, we shouldn’t see cars with only one person in them, but they’re the majority of traffic over here. The onion’s production engineering and tooling chain is the key to prices so low that no government or commercial building can justify not having at least one on site. Next up is the ever-increasing power density vs pricing and trade-in value.
If you can get ahold of a copy of William C. Butterworth’s book “Wheels and Pistons”, I highly recommend it. The inside the box thinking of Henry Ford’s day was that nobody was going to buy 20M cars a year. Until he done it, shortened the standard US workday 1 hour, and doubled wages for all of his employees.