Reply To: Bill Gates

[Brian H]

An audit of the IPCC forecasting methods finds them totally incompetent, and not worth the paper they’re printed on, scientifically and mathematically speaking:
http://www.ncpa.org/pub/st/st308/index.html

The evidence shows that those forecasting long-term climate change have limited or no apparent knowledge of evidence-based forecasting methods; therefore, similar conclusions apply to the second two elements of the forecasting problem. Public policy makers owe it to the people who would be affected by their policies to base them on scientific forecasts. Advocates of policy changes have a similar obligation. Hopefully, climate scientists with diverse views will begin to embrace forecasting principles and will collaborate with forecasting experts in order to provide policy makers with scientific climate forecasts.