The Focus Fusion Society › Forums › Dense Plasma Focus (DPF) Science and Applications › NIMBY FUD › Reply To: T-shirt designers unite and take over
Rematog wrote: I disagree with personal experience being irrelevant.
If in a discussion of say, electric car deployment, two people disagree on how they will be operated and maintained. One has had a career in the automotive repair business, the other has not (I know nothing of your background or expertise).
Which ones thoughts on that particular subject would carry more weight with a third party?
If a mathematician says “2+2=5”, and a small child disagrees does that mean the child is wrong? Thus the “weight” of someone’s experience does not make their statements on the subject true, said person still needs to prove its true with evidence.
I’ve made my case based on:
Existing asset reuse, including very importantly, transmission access (we have agreed, most residential and light commercial power needs will be provided by local distribution I believe).
Likely Regulatory issues.
Public Fears.
Security issues.
Added installation cost for distributed siting (economies of scale).
We disagree on how important these thing are, but I don’t think you could make a believable claim any of them are of no account.
As I recall, the only reasons you’ve stated for distributed installation are:
Savings on transmission costs.
People want to own/control their own generators.
I do not consider philosophic reasons of “I like it more” or “I dislike big business” to be valid arguments.
I agree transmission costs will be an important factor. I just do not believe it and the desire to own will out weight the disadvantages/hurdles I’ve mentioned above, at least for the first 10 years of deployment.
I think we both agree that, with time, the Regulatory, Public Fear and Security issues will become less important. And, I’ll also agree that desire to own will increase with time.
We disagree in our evaluation of these factors. You are stating that your reasons are so strong, that they will outweigh the reasons I’ve given for my opinion that Focus Fusion will, in the first phase, be deploy at central facilities and major industrial sites, along with big ships.
Time will tell.
We cover this already:
Public Fear: as scary as an x-ray machine
Security: No more dangerous then a power transformer.
Larger scale: add the cost of high power transmission and problems of centralized grids. Centralization exist because small scale conventional generators are not competitive with large ones, but since focus fusion can’t be scaled up (core size can’t be scaled up in this design) an array of generators in any one spot is not going to cost much less then many single generators all over the place. Distributed generators will reduce energy distribution cost, be improvise to black outs from failures of any single generator and provide energy (and income) in the form of waste heat for heating/cooling water and buildings or powering industrial processes.