The Focus Fusion Society › Forums › Lawrenceville Plasma Physics Experiment (LPPX) › Thoughts on Refueling / Maintence cycle and revenue
Greetings this is my first post here, I’ve been reading about the FF device and had some thoughts on what would be involved in fueling and servicing the final production system and how it could be done efficiently and safely.
First off from Lerner’s various lectures we know a few constraints, the reactor requires a 9 hour cool-off period for radiation levels to drop to background levels which would allow unprotected servicing. Second, that the Electrodes are estimated to have a one month life-span for the first generation system. This means your looking at a monthly cycle of shutdown-cool-down-electrode replacement. This is short but you still want to minimize total downtime as much as possible and for it to be as predictable as possible. Thus you want to try to do as many other maintenance activities at that time so you don’t need to perform any other shutdowns.
The obvious solution is to combine the electrode replacement with refueling. But we have two other constraints, first the Boran compounds are toxic so you need to be contained and would ideally be in a solid form in transport. Second the Electrodes shape is quite important as the resent reports seem to indicate, I doubt replacing it by hand would be desirable. The solution is to make the entire reaction chamber removable/replaceable. The chamber would contain the electrodes and a one month supply of Borans (which I assume would be only grams) along with the systems to heat and vaporize them to the correct Pressure. It would have connections for coolant, vacuum and electrical lines as well as a port for connection to the alpha particle collector along with any data or control systems that must be very close to the reaction. By separating the core from the bulky ‘Onion’ X-Ray collector that it would rest in (I’m imagining the ‘Onion’ would actually be a cylindrical in shape with a small hole in the center that receives the core) and the various support systems this core should come to under 50 pounds and manageable size a shape to be manually replaced. Also it allows any future advancement in electrode or fuel to be retrofitted into existing installations.
The ‘spent’ core would then be taken back to a refueling facility. Their it would be disassembled, the eroded electrodes and any residual Borans collected and recycled. Then the chamber is rebuilt with fresh electrodes, fresh Borans and then it would go through rigorous testing. This would consist of putting it into a test reactor which would be otherwise identical to the production reactor but with more sensors and connected to an computer programmed with a test suite. The core gets run through its tests to confirm it can sustain sufficient net energy output. Failed cores go back to the start and are disassembled again, passed ones get shipped out for the scheduled refueling. The operation would be analogues to NetFlix with large distribution centers serving customers across large multi-state areas.
And finally the best part, the revenue stream. LPP already plans to license the manufacturing of the system world wide, both to get fastest possible adoption and second cause they lack the capitalization to produce the full system. But Refueling facility is orders of magnitude simpler, at 5MW for each reactor, current total world electric power consumption of ~2TW would require 400,000 Reactors which would translate to 546 refueling operations per hour, with 50 refueling facilities each would only need to refuel 1 core ever 5 minutes. This is a large operation but much more manageable then building and installing all the reactors themselves and something that could easily scale up as the number of Reactors increases, even if had to be done by nearly by hand initially. LPP could use the xerox strategy, give the printer away for a song, charge for the ink. License the reactor tech for a song but retain exclusive rights to perform refueling and sign a long term contract to provide the refueling. As each core will generate a total of 3660 MW/h before being serviced the price point the market will bear is quite high. At $36,000 the cost would translate to only 1 cent per kw/h which is comparable to the fuel cost of coal, final costs would still be lower due to lower capitol costs. Also LPP could practice a great degree of price discrimination, charging poor and undeveloped countries and regions break even prices and OECD countries profit making prices that would still be considerably below current prices.
Impaler, your approach is quite reasonable, but as far as i know, repeated fusion has not been achieved, so we cannot build a servicing and franchise business model based on the design we have today. In my mind, I think that even once the fusion is achieved the problems for a repeatable working fusion generator is far from over. Some other posters have mentioned the following hurdles: Cooling, refueling, electrode realignment after every shot and this is only for the actual know design, the worst will be those we do not know yet. We are at a stalemate since a couple of months and we still have to go to aneutronic fusion with decaborane fuel. I think that to move forward we need to make a leap thinking change of the design to tackle problems. Here is some ideas to crush down:
Anode erosion: The straight forward solution would be to make them thicker, or to coat them with a hard conducting metal like tungsten platinum or palladium. The leap thinking solution would be to have no physical electrodes at all and have plasma filed hollow laser beams as confinement. Shut down the laser and voila! the current flows to the anode and by the way, no huge and complicated triggers to achieve timing. The laser beam is only one.
“Onion” x Ray photovoltaic envelope. If needed, this device must be THE containment vessel not an exterior shell of a Stainless steel chamber as now. The leap thoughts are: A) not to have onion x ray photovoltaic device to harvest somehow a 30% energy given away in the fusion reaction, but to have a reflective spherical chamber where the x rays bounce frontally back to further align and compress the diffuse gas in the pinch and plasmoid zone to increase yields and simultaneously allow photovoltaic effect to create an intense positive charge in the wall to create a repulsive electric field electric field to further compress the plasma. Note that both concepts are independently tested on other fussion devices (NIF and Polywell), so this could be an Hybrid solution, further solving the cooling needs.
Of course both concepts development and testing are far beyond the concept FF1, time scale and budget, but the “Keep it simple” is the rule and this are simple solutions.
Impaler: I like your idea of replacement to also include the fuel. I don’t know if the business model will be implemented, but it’s an option which is maybe worth thinking about. But if it slows down the adaption of FF, it probably won’t be implemented.
Milemaster: Erm, I don’t really know how you would build a laser electrode, especially one that is energy efficient. Lasers aren’t really efficient. For the electrode material Eric more thinking about Beryllium, which is transparent to x-rays. The higher you get with atomic numbers, the less transparent the material gets (at least somewhat generally).
Henning:
Here are some references on two methods regarding how to generate a hollow laser beam that filled with plasma can be used as an electrode. Also a couple of articles regarding the containment and movement of particles (In our case decaborane plasma) by means of these lasers.
The idea is to use columns of this hollow beams, just to fill and contain the decaborane gas. Combining both the electric discharge of the capacitor with the shutting of the beams would give the simultaneous discharge that we need.
‘Tractor Beam’ One Step Closer to Reality: Laser Moves Small Particles
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/09/100909173132.htm
Atom guiding and cooling in a dark hollow laser beam
http://pra.aps.org/abstract/PRA/v58/i1/p509_1
Generation of a Hollow laser beam by optical lenses
http://www.sciner.com/Opticsland/hollow_laser_beam.htm
Generation of a hollow laser beam by a multimode fiber
http://210.72.9.198/viewFull.aspx?id=COL05080460-3
On another article, not mentioned here, explains that the containment effect is not only by tweezing the brownian movement of particles towards the black core of the laser beam, but also because there is an electric field directed to the center.
Hope this may be useful!!.
Finally I do not see any use of beryllium coating cooper electrodes. The x rays would pass trough the beryllium to finally be absorbed inside the cooper core as I understand.
Milemaster wrote: Henning:
Here are some references on two methods regarding how to generate a hollow laser beam that filled with plasma can be used as an electrode.
?
Are you intending to have these “cylinders” of fuel plasma conduct the power to drive the formation of the sheath?
Then the fuel for the pinch would be in addition to the “electrodes”?
Then are you just shiftingg the erosion to the physical electrodes supplying the current to the plasma within the beams?
And what will that pB plasma external to the confinement beams do to them?
Doesn’t seem to add up, so what am I missing?
Another issue would seem to be that, unfortunately, none of the techniques you mention are scaled to the magnitude of current, pressure and temperature required for pre-pinch plasma.
Milemaster wrote: Finally I do not see any use of beryllium coating cooper electrodes. The x rays would pass trough the beryllium to finally be absorbed inside the cooper core as I understand.
Er… no one mentioned beryllium plating. The electrodes, which are not very large, are to be made of beryllium.
A few threads discussing the resources needed for production of practical FF power units have indicated that the Be needs of an FF economy falls within current Be production capacity.
Milemaster wrote: If needed, this device must be THE containment vessel not an exterior shell of a Stainless steel chamber as now.
I know the concept pictures show an ‘Onion’ with a spherical reaction chamber at the center but this should not be taken literally. Their is no need to do it that way as the X ray collection can be in any shape around the chamber so long as it collects the rays cost effectively, their is no ‘focusing’ the X-rays back into the reaction chamber, the rays will all leave on a one way trip. The threads on the Onion have mostly concluded that thousands of uniquely curved hemispheres of foil is a manufacturing nightmare and instead a cylindrical design formed by rolled a sheet of photovoltaic over a drum much like a roll of toilet paper is more practical. This is reasonable considering that the long efforts to reduce costs of photovoltaics is almost entirely focused on simplifying and speeding up the manufacturing process to reduce cost and thin-foil rolling processes are key to the low priced thin-film cells that have captured a lot of market share lately. Building the ‘Roll’ (or the Ho-Ho if you prefer a foody name for it) separately from the core will certainly simply the manufacturing process and make for a reactor that’s easier to easier to service. Also only the core will need to hold vacuum which allows for the Rolls many thin foils to not be burdened with the negative pressure that would be associated with being the inner wall of the reaction chamber.
Also the walls of the core module would not be steel but rather could simply be made of Beryllium to allow the X-rays out as efficiently as possible, everyone’s said its not a limiting factor and the chamber is not under nearly as much strain as the electrode.
Zapicky:ming
You are stating a couple of very interesting engineering problems to tackle. Here are my thoughts of the steps we could take to solve them.
A) Are you intending to have these “cylinders” of fuel plasma conduct the power to drive the formation of the sheath?
Yes the idea is to replace the electrodes by the plasma cylinder. No erosion inside the chamber means less contamination of the fuel but most relevant problem we intend to solve is the shut down of the lasers simultanuosly with the capacitor discharge would achieve a pre firing of all the electrodes surrounding the cathode,
B) Then the fuel for the pinch would be in addition to the “electrodes”?
As a mather of fact, I was thinking that the fuel would be pumped in the chamber as electrodes not as an addition to another intake of fuel.
C) Then are you just shifting the erosion to the physical electrodes supplying the current to the plasma within the beams?
Its a matter of design. Even if there is a remaining corrosion in the interface between plasma and the electrode, it could be shifted outside of the chamber to a better serviceable zone. I could think of a relatively large copper solid pipe conducting the fuel to the chamber’s top plate but electrically isolated from it.
A minuscule hole in the center lodges the gas. This configuration allows a greater surface contact. The discharge would be made trough the external pipe.
D) And what will that pB plasma external to the confinement beams do to them?
Really I would try to minimize unconfined gas. Even with the plasma sheath formation, we could still steer the flow of gas with laser beams. Actually there is a diffuse gas and its reasonable to conclude that during the discharge there is formation of violent and chaotic turbulence that have not been taken in consideration. This produce transitory differences in pre in the plasma zone and outside and an overall loss of efficiency and the need of evacuation of all the Pb after the shot. If we are going to make a repeated firing machine, we need to reconsider the reduction of the loading and unloading of the gas.
E) Doesn’t seem to add up, so what am I missing?
Sure, at a first glance there are many questions to solve. As y begun this thread, we are at a stalemate, and the way to get out of it is thinking outside the box. And a lot of old fashioned brick and mortar, trial and error work is needed. But this is the way engineers do their job, and learn from the experience.
F) Another issue would seem to be that, unfortunately, none of the techniques you mention are scaled to the magnitude of current, pressure and temperature required for pre-pinch plasma.
Yes this is a very common limitation on breakthrough developments. Necessary but infant technologies are not available in the time span we have. Perhaps the engineering solutions proposed, requires techniques that are ahead of this time. But looking at the information of hollow lasers interactions with gases, there is nothing there that cannot be scaled. The setups I have seen for the lasers columns, are just table top devices in a lab. We can wait; we can pick up the job from there and create our costumed device or we continue with more available improvements (Like the beryllium electrodes mentioned as Eric’s choice) but remain vigilant of the progress of the hollow laser technology.
Impaler:
I agree completely with you about the cost saving production of rolls of a thin photovoltaic “drum” surrounding a beryllium reaction chamber. Yes my calculations is that almost a thousand of thin sheets would do the job or better one large film rolled one thousand times.
With mass production on my mind I tend to combine functionality pushing the designs to the limit. In this case I would explore the photovoltaic generation with the capacitor function. We always thought of the fast discharge capacitors as a separate hardware. But we can combine these functions including the appropriate conductive layers sandwiched between the photovoltaic film. Anyway this would be a very specialized capacitor, capable of sustaining millions of cycles of almost instant charge/discharges and with an enormous electric tension and intense currents in the connection points. Quite a feat!.
@Milemaster:
While I’m not particularly knowledgeable on the difficulties presented to a combined capacitor/photovoltaic system I strongly suspect it will not be practical from an engineering point. We already know the X-Ray photovoltaics look to be the main engineering challenge after viable fusion is demonstrated. The X-Ray collectors efficiency is crucial to the final system net output and estimates are that 20% will be needed just for break-even. Thus all effort should be directed solely towards maximum efficiency and the more functionality that can be offloaded to other equipment the better particularly when that function is easily found in off the shelf components such as a capacitor bank or a vacuum chamber. Even with the ‘Roll’ being designed purely for photovoltaic collection I predict it will easily exceed 50% of the total system capitol costs, it is by far the part that will be most complex to fabricate because it will be a completely NEW device manufactured only for the FF Generator, that means new specialized equipment in small quantities. All that means Big costs.
BTW, your estimate of “only” 1¢/kwh is about 4X the total estimated minimum profitable retail price for FF output to date, INCLUDING all capital and servicing and fuel and replacement costs.
And there’s no such word as “boran”. The element is boron, and compounds are boranes.
Impaler:
You don’t have to go to far to get the Hybrid Photovoltaic array; it is powering our next generation of cars and solar generators! Here are some articles that describes couple of this technologies available on the market:
Hybrid combination of Ultra capacitors and Battery’s: http://www.supercapacitors.org/
Hybrid combination of Photovoltaic and thermal collectors: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Photovoltaic_thermal_hybrid_solar_collector
photovoltaic supercapacitor battery hybrid energy: http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/Xplore/login.jsp?url=http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/iel5/4629335/4635237/04635510.pdf?arnumber=4635510&authDecision=-203
I have also heard of direct Photovoltaic arrays with Oxygen / hydrogen electrolysis generation built in.
We only have to roam the internet to find this of the shelf technologies. Going deeper into manufacturers and Universities labs there are a lot more innovations that are breeding.
As I see it, Manufacturers have the potential technology to build these hardware and are eager to have a market to serve. Just challenge them to see what they got.
The idea of combining the Photovoltaic and capacitor comes from the need of ultra efficiency in the firing cycles for a commercial device. Lets say we run them at a rate ranging from 100 to 1000 Hz, we will have to reduce, simplify and streamline all the components.
@Milemaster
I’m afraid none of those links are pertinent to having a PV device act AS a capacitor. Rather they deal with storing energy from PV in capacitors or creating “hybrid” capacitor/battery devices which will be hybrid like a hybrid car aka having a battery and capacitor in one package sharing load. I know the nature of the X-Ray collector resembles a capacitor with its numerous thin foils separated by insulation but that dose not mean it would be wise to try to make it serve double duty as one, assuming it is even possible which I am doubtful of. Given that designing the X-ray collector will be one of the key goals of the prototype development phase then the collector by definition can not be an off the shelf component. Nor is their any indication that anyone out their has the tech to make the current visible-light based PV cells act as capacitors that could be applied to an X-Ray collector.
Capacitors are NOT a serious technical challenge to prototyping a FF reactor and keeping the collector and capacitor as separate devices lets each one be optimized for one singular purpose. Efficiency is hurt not helped by combining functionality in the way you describe and higher cycle rates are another reason to have separate capacitors as any cycle limit in the capacitors can be solved by just adding more capacitors and switching between them. The only advantage I can see to a combined PV-Capacitor is weight reduction which might be a goal for a second generation system designed to be miniaturized for a vehicular application.
If you’ll examine my post you’ll see 1¢/kwh is not an estimate of any kind of cost of refueling, it’s an estimate of what price the market would BARE for refueling a FF reactor. I arrive at it by simply matching the fuel cost of a coal power-plant, the main energy source we want to eliminate. Coal is favored mainly because of its low up-front capitol costs, but its operating costs (of which fuel is only a portion) are actually quite high (Natural Gas is much the same having even lower capitol costs but higher fuel costs). Investors and Utilities consistently prefer energy sources with low capitol costs and high operating costs over the reverse (high capitol and low operating). So the best way to get FF adopted quickly and universally is to cut capitol costs to the bone and make all profit on fueling. Licensing worldwide non-exclusive rights to build and install the reactor will ensure the market delivers the reactor at minimum price, while maintaining a monopoly on fueling gives LPP a reliable revenue stream. As for what the fueling operation will cost I’d guess just a few grand mostly in labor unless isotopic separation of boron-10 and boron-11 is required.
If it were possible LPP should actually subsidize the instillation costs of the Reactor and make it up on the fueling. That’s the X-Box strategy, Microsoft loses $100 dollars for each box sold but makes it up on the games which are quite profitable. The best way to get rapid market penetration is shift cost in this way because the fundamental nature of capitalism will always favor delayed costs over present costs. Unfortunately LPP won’t have the manufacturing/instillation capacity to do this for some time so the free-2-build, fuel-monopoly scenario I propose is the best that can be achieved in the early adoption phase.
Impaler;
No, not exactly. LPP is, in any case not intending to be in either the hardware or servicing side, AFAIK, just licensing and R&D. Let those who are already expert and experienced in the “hands on” areas do their thing, and that will bring them fully onside, plus get the best talent the market can offer immediately available and gaining product knowledge and involvement.
The capital cost of the FF is so low that it would be paid off in a year, maybe less. FF generators are insanely profitable. If you then add the opportunity gains by counting the savings compared to conventional sources, you could hold an existing maintenance/replacement budget constant and double or triple the number of (self-financed) FFs installed each year.
As for fuelling, you’d be hard put to spend $100/annum on each generator. Invisibly trivially negligibly small. Minute and tiny, even. Using currently commercially available product and pricing.
The #1 dominant ongoing cost is servicing and control staff. After the capital cost is retired, about a year or less, it’s almost the whole ball of wax. And, to repeat, these things are ENTIRELY the concerns of the licensees, not LPP.
Impaler:
Your consideration of not combining PV and capacitors is correct at this moment. The same aplies to the choice of beryllium anodes vs laser guided plasma conduits. Any untested or unavailable technology will only delay the development of a Fusion reactor NOW!!. On that basis y completely agree for a medium sized device. It will be inevitable in a very near future to miniaturize the FF and this will require a second generation device like you mentioned.
An initial 5 MW device would have immediate use placed in the low tension substations transformers to power lets say a couple of blocks in a residential area or a building, chopping off the power plants and medium tension lines in the way.
If we downsize FF to a 400 kw you would have a power for a modern house located far from the power grids, opening new real states location in today’s waste lands, creating gardens, were we now have deserts, frigid landscapes, or seabeds, chopping off the land value to only a fraction of the housing cost.
But downsize it to half of this and you can power a big SUV or, why not, a small personal flying chopper, cutting of the cost of building and maintaining highways, bridges and roads not to mention the trafic jams. We just let the 3D GPS devices create and negotiate the airways as we need them.
As we see all this mouth watering dreams rely on a small, clean and long lasting power device. with more than 80 millions cars produced each year, don’t you think the automakers wont be willing to undertake the development costs, and so the real state developers and government agencies and….you do the math. It will just happen.
Regarding the business model, LPP is not the kind of organization to provide manufacture of any kind (Device or Fuel) and certainly not to provide servicing. A 5-8% license is more than reasonable both as return for the value of the creation of FF power generation and a stimulus to other entrepreneurs to further develop the limitless marketing of such hardware.
Will LPP license a general patent on focus fusion, or specific reactor designs? If the latter, ideas like Impaler’s original post are definitely relevant.
It seems like a pretty good idea that would help drive adoption….lowering or eliminating initial capital costs, and reducing the need for highly-skilled maintenance staff.