#11267
zapkitty
Participant

[em]heat [/em]
global insolation watts 1.73E+17
albedo 0.3
global absorbed watts 1.21E+17
insolation variance +- 0.1%
variance in watts +- 1.21E+14
anthropogenic waste heat 1.80E+13

4% global absorbed 4.84E+15*
*Note: cf Chaisson, direct anthropogenic heating equal to 4% of absorbed insolation = 3 degree global temp rise… it can serve as a marker anyway…

FF efficiency 0.45

electric
global 2011 watts 2.08E+12

FF scenarios
[em]heat equivalent watts electric watts heat [/em]
waste as FF heat 8.10E+12 9.90E+12
variance as FF heat 5.45E+13 6.66E+13
0.1 c rise 7.27E+13 8.88E+13
0.2 c rise 1.45E+14 1.78E+14
0.3 c rise 2.18E+14 2.66E+14

[em]population[/em]
pop1 – 2011 7,000,000,000
pop2 – levels out 9,500,000,000
pop3 – 2011 x 2 14,000,000,000

[em]watts electric per capita 2011[/em]
global per capita 297
gaza per capita 0.02
iceland per capita 3,152

FF watts per capita – electric (thermal)
[em]FF scenario pop1 pop2 pop3[/em]
waste as FF 1,157 (1,414) 853 (1,042) 579 (707)
variance as FF 7,785 (9,515) 5,736 (7,011) 3,893 (4,758)
0.1 c rise 10,380 (12,687) 7,648 (9,348) 5,190 (6,343)
0.2 c rise 20,760 (25,373) 15,297 (18,696) 10,380 (12,687)
0.3 c rise 31,140 (38,060) 22,945 (28,044) 15,570 (19,030)

current fossil fuel cost per day (2008) ~$15,068,493,151
current electric cost per day (2008) between $4,082,192,000 and $5,890,411,000

[em]FF electric cost per day[/em]
current electric as FF $99,792,000
waste as FF $388,800,000
variance as FF $2,615,760,000
0.1 c rise $3,487,680,000
0.2 c rise $6,975,360,000
0.3 c rise $10,463,040,000

edit: goofed the costs section copy’n’paste
edit Jan 09 2012: forgot 2008 estimated elec cost per day