Aeronaut - 03 June 2009 06:49 PM
Brian H - 03 June 2009 01:19 AM
Aeronaut - 02 June 2009 09:53 PM
...
It also looks like the number of licenses sold next year will probably be far less than a dozen, boding well for type-certification licensing from foreign governments’ agencies, which may in turn become the DOE’s model. NRC’s website looks reasonable as long as the machine, operations, and site are designed with safety and security in mind. Politics remains to be pioneered…..
Next year? What are your indications that any licenses will be issued before the engineering is proven? Eric, AFAIK, has shown no indication that he thinks that would be appropriate, sensible, or likely.
My bad.
http://lawrencevilleplasmaphysics.com/index.php?pr=Fusion_Projections seems to expect to sell 1 license each in 2011 and 2012, ramping up from there. Menu items on that page lay out the entire FF project for potential investors.
The page is obsolete, as it works off an assumption of raising money through the X-Scan process and going up from there, starting in 2006. Moving directly into FF generators is a different path, and you can bump all the dates in there by about 2 years.
Here is more relevant info:
http://lawrencevilleplasmaphysics.com/index.php?pr=Fusion_Marketing
LPP will carry out a two-year series of experiments to test the scientific feasibility of Focus Fusion. This constitutes Phase I of our overall plan.
The goal of Phase 1 is to demonstrate beyond doubt that enough fusion energy is generated with Focus Fusion so that net energy production is possible with reasonable efficiencies of conversion of energy directly to electricity. This would be a tremendous breakthrough and would solve the scientific problem of fusion energy production.
LPP believes that once scientific feasibility is demonstrated, it should be relatively easy to raise the $15 million necessary for Phase 2 from a combination of government and private sources. In all probability, LPP will be able to make an Initial Public Offering after the end of Phase 1.
A successful completion of Phase 1 will essentially assure technical success, as no new technology will be needed for Phase 2, just an adaptation of existing technology. There is no other technology that can compete with Focus Fusion as it will produce energy at costs far less than any other current process or technology.
In Phase 2, we will develop the Focus Fusion device as a repetitively-pulsed reactor, develop the conversion devices to convert the ion beams and X-rays to electricity using mainly existing technology, and perfect the cooling system and electrical control system. We will also optimize the fusion energy generation efficiency. At the end of Phase 2, which LPP estimates will take another three years, we plan to have the world’s first fusion reactor producing net electricity.